Neat-Harbour
0x61ea83757d03ad51fb01bcedc7f69d623960bbf7
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$16.0K
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$-28.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7000 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.0K
$-35.00
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
8781 shares @ 34.9¢·now 29.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.6K
$-479.30
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
9554 shares @ 56.5¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$-3.1K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
4000 shares @ 56.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$1.8K
$-460.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
7623 shares @ 25.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.3K
$-612.08
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3100 shares @ 41.7¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$883.20
$-409.81
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 41.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$720.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3200 shares @ 9.5¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$404.80
$100.80
- NO
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
563 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.57Jul 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.73Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$1.0KJul 27, 11:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.22Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.44Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.76Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$251.38Jul 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$13.92Jul 23, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$24.08Jul 23, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$10.32Jul 23, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$25.52Jul 23, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.10Jul 23, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$591.25Jul 23, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$30.71Jul 23, 07:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $324.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.