Tense-Break
0x6291edb6079eb78d52814340fdf748a2d279cc47
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
182
Open notional
$19.9K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$7.2K
Win rate
70%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6754 shares @ 72.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.6K
$1.8K
- NO
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
2009 shares @ 64.1¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.6K
$359.98
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
1536 shares @ 68.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.5K
$461.44
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
2000 shares @ 61.1¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.2K
$-11.07
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
2991 shares @ 12.7¢·now 38.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.2K
$783.53
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11037 shares @ 5.5¢·now 7.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$822.29
$220.59
- YES
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
1408 shares @ 36.8¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$803.48
$284.53
- NO
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
398 shares @ 65.7¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$322.49
$60.77
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2362 shares @ 41.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$295.22
$-677.48
- YES
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
500 shares @ 60.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$277.49
$-22.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$9.21Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$0.30Jun 13, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$2.45Jun 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$0.10Jun 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$10.20Jun 13, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$7.20Jun 13, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$57.30Jun 13, 04:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.69Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.83Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$7.55Jun 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$2.69Jun 12, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$9.59Jun 12, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$56.41Jun 12, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$27.50Jun 12, 15:56 UTC
- MERGEWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$500.00Jun 12, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$5.67Jun 12, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$33.01Jun 12, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$8.30Jun 12, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$32.89Jun 12, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $31.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.