Muffled-Sill
0x629ec2131f7ec547c2d2b92cb1b35ce7a2b96be4
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$648.30
Total PnL
$-40.95
Realised
$11.27
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
190 shares @ 36.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.70
$-9.58
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
50 shares @ 54.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$49.98
$22.77
- NO
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
40 shares @ 86.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.62
$1.01
- YES
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
87 shares @ 34.7¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$28.71
$-1.50
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
50 shares @ 41.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.75
$7.25
- YES
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
107 shares @ 24.7¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.70
$1.35
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
25 shares @ 51.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 10, 2026$24.77
$12.02
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?
26 shares @ 93.2¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.80
$-1.34
- YES
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$17.10
$-0.10
- NO
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
37 shares @ 43.7¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.67
$-1.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$0.644h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$6.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 126 billion views by June 30?$2.034h ago
- YIELD$0.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$14.2410h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.9810h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$6.6019h ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$7.501d ago
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$40.431d ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 494 million subscribers by June 30?$0.231d ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 494 million subscribers by June 30?$11.171d ago
- REDEEMWill "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$5.612d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$4.522d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$3.512d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$5.132d ago
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$10.502d ago
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$4.422d ago
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$9.432d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
