Insignificant-Priesthood
0x62e8a3fe83ec46e7439f6ebc0b99e1e6c56ac7f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.6K
Realised
$89.91
Win rate
36%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?
8652 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-661.45
- NO
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
7284 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
6369 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 30%?
4000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?
3258 shares @ 84.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- NO
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?
3158 shares @ 77.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- NO
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
2747 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-758.03
- NO
Will Outdoor Boys post another video by November 30?
2523 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
2355 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-444.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$51.12May 16, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?$1.45May 16, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?$29.23May 16, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$35.36May 16, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?$31.62May 16, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$56.83May 16, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$53.08May 16, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?$54.08May 16, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?$29.03May 16, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$76.67May 16, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?$73.46May 16, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$95.86May 16, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?$102.06May 16, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?$107.71May 16, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$106.19May 16, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBlue tsunami in 2026?$103.98May 16, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$110.70May 16, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$114.23May 16, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$119.78May 16, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$113.25May 16, 01:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 50 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
50 closed markets, 36% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $245.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 01:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 02:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.