Steel-Durian
0x631213081ac903cda2261bc529c379d9cd9d3941
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-477.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
110 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 17, 2026$106.86
$1.04
- NO
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
120 shares @ 84.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$106.80
$6.00
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
110 shares @ 94.2¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$105.38
$1.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?
120 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$105.00
$1.80
- NO
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
110 shares @ 96.0¢·now 93.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$103.29
$-2.31
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
100 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$99.95
$3.95
- NO
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
110 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$97.35
$-1.65
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
100 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$96.95
$0.45
- NGANNOU
MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins
101 shares @ 91.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$89.48
$-2.53
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
3976 shares @ 5.1¢·now 2.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$87.47
$-116.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$8.00May 16, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.00May 16, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$7.49May 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?$91.70May 16, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$100.00May 16, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?$11.97May 16, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?$34.58May 16, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?$61.43May 16, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?$7.24May 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$100.44May 16, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$98.96May 16, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$77.29May 16, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 16, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.53May 16, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.57May 16, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$22.06May 16, 00:57 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.74May 16, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$0.00May 16, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 15?$110.00May 15, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$110.00May 15, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $50.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 04:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".