Formal-Samovar
0x63174a54f818a8fbf01037be21d8bf51bf85e864
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-422.32
Realised
$-80.76
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
592 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$592.00
$159.84
- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
453 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$453.00
$185.73
- NO
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
479 shares @ 70.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$368.83
$33.53
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
716 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$358.00
$-7.16
- YES
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
69 shares @ 52.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.55
$-29.32
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
4 shares @ 54.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.00
$1.83
- YES
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
2 shares @ 26.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.78
$1.26
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
17 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.06
$-0.18
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.02
$-0.23
- YES
Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15?
525 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-168.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$176.97Apr 11, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$171.87Apr 11, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$16.32Apr 11, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$5.92Apr 11, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$43.05Apr 11, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$6.29Apr 10, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$43.05Apr 10, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$432.16Apr 10, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMistral AI IPO before 2027?$381.84Apr 9, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$416.25Apr 9, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMistral AI IPO before 2027?$359.64Apr 7, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15?$157.76Apr 7, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15?$10.24Apr 7, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$416.25Apr 7, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$2.00Apr 7, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$41.00Apr 7, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$558.00Apr 7, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?$17.64Mar 31, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?$143.42Mar 30, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?$181.05Mar 30, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $187.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.