Favorite-Pendant
0x6341fd628ac143356599fb929f92158d6f2f7263
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$206.45
Total PnL
$-587.86
Realised
$-2.27
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
20 shares @ 25.8¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$8.70
$3.55
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
8 shares @ 76.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 29, 2026$7.81
$1.83
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 78.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.78
$0.90
- NO
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.69
$3.59
- NO
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
8 shares @ 57.6¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.68
$2.04
- YES
Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?
31 shares @ 24.5¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.56
$-0.92
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
11 shares @ 55.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.43
$0.45
- NO
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 60.5¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.30
$0.25
- NO
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
8 shares @ 71.4¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$6.17
$0.18
- YES
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
12 shares @ 37.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.12
$1.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$2.27Jun 14, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?$1.60Jun 14, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.23Jun 14, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?$0.22Jun 14, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland leading at halftime?$1.64Jun 13, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.64Jun 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$2.19Jun 13, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$0.88Jun 13, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.01Jun 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.50Jun 13, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.34Jun 13, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.14Jun 13, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility?$10.00Jun 13, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland leading at halftime?$1.01Jun 13, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.49Jun 13, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$3.58Jun 13, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.06Jun 13, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.48Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Stinky by July 31?$1.60Jun 13, 03:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.