Wavy-Smoking
0x63a59db799a686cf5e8b6df3bb5bbb5f0316b24c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$5.87
Total PnL
$-12.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 26.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.44
$-0.56
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 89.4¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Clavicular charged by Jan 31?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.59Jun 15, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.00Jun 14, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin visit China by May 31?$1.33Jun 14, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$1.00May 12, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$1.00Apr 9, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.36Apr 9, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$5.68Apr 9, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Mar 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.00Mar 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$5.00Feb 1, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.15Feb 1, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.00Jan 4, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$1.00Dec 28, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular charged by Jan 31?$1.00Dec 27, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMGreg Goes All In profitable in September?$1.45Dec 14, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMKraken vs. Capitals$1.54Dec 14, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken vs. Capitals$1.00Oct 19, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sign any Executive Order week of October 24?$1.00Oct 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.00Oct 11, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 04:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.