Instructive-Patience
0x63b458729c147394272006ca15755a0a635cee12
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$22.25
Total PnL
$0.88
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- MINNESOTA TWINS
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.52
$2.76
- YES
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
6 shares @ 60.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$3.55
$0.25
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.15
$0.39
- NO
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
6 shares @ 29.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.99
$0.39
- YES
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
12 shares @ 6.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.40
$0.65
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 24.1¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.34
$0.01
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14 shares @ 5.5¢·now 9.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.32
$0.57
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 15.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.15
$0.27
- YES
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
7 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.20
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 13.4¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.90
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?$0.61May 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.28May 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.78May 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16?$1.17May 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLZagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery$3.82May 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 16?$0.62May 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$0.78May 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.46May 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.63May 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?$0.77May 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.41May 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$0.44May 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.91May 15, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 16?$0.34May 15, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16?$1.21May 15, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYZagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery$3.95May 15, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 16?$0.71May 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 16?$0.75May 15, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$1.00May 15, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$1.03May 15, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 23:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".