Grand-Tensor
0x64535134ebf4f57daadbe5afb7f0bfc20d4a5553
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.7K
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-20.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
9167 shares @ 33.8¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.4K
$1.3K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$996.49
$566.50
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
2000 shares @ 53.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$610.00
$-449.92
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
13700 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$347.98
$-73.49
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
196 shares @ 84.6¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.93
$24.32
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
878 shares @ 63.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$100.96
$-454.14
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 64.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.00
$-545.00
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2834 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$35.42
$-57.69
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
10976 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6507 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.41Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$516.69Jul 21, 16:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$100.00Jul 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.46Jul 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$22.05Jul 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.85Jul 15, 20:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $8.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.