Portly-Begonia
0x645a91730f588c5586e8860936a7e3554303fd84
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
166
Open notional
$62.3K
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
92%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
2774 shares @ 29.9¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$1.1K
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
1655 shares @ 49.4¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$622.63
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
1524 shares @ 53.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$442.60
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
1706 shares @ 49.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$230.39
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
1118 shares @ 74.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$983.47
$147.71
- NO
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?
1239 shares @ 67.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$972.26
$139.54
- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
1116 shares @ 73.7¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$948.76
$126.00
- NO
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
1050 shares @ 79.5¢·now 89.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$936.49
$101.73
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
1191 shares @ 70.2¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$929.07
$93.32
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
1677 shares @ 49.8¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$922.54
$86.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?$25.91Jun 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 13:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.