Whopping-Millennium
0x6496ea72b5cfbe249b5357af8d215763dfeeb3d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
70
Open notional
$5.22
Total PnL
$-214.95
Realised
$-0.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- NO
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.17
$0.17
- NO
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?
1 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp Oct 22, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
130 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.42Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$1.00Jul 29, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$1.19Jul 29, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?$1.00Jul 28, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$1.01Jul 28, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$1.03Jul 28, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$1.00Jul 28, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$1.04Jul 28, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.97Jul 28, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.01Jul 28, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$1.04Jul 28, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.03Jul 28, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMTargu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere$1.59Jul 27, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMTargu Mures: Caijsa Hennemann vs Mia Pohankova$1.18Jul 27, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMTargu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Irina Fetecau$1.11Jul 27, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere$1.02Jul 27, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Irina Fetecau$1.00Jul 27, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Caijsa Hennemann vs Mia Pohankova$1.01Jul 27, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$1.01Jul 27, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.02Jul 26, 15:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 10:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.