Frigid-Vendor
0x649743d5708656e9e229aa6dbc8f76fd57ca558c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$14.92
Total PnL
$-601.99
Realised
$-17.10
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
24 shares @ 42.2¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.58
$-2.42
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
59 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.34
$0.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
1918 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
801 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.71
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
800 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
723 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
596 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.81May 15, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.07May 14, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 14, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.12May 14, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10.00May 14, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.07May 14, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.08May 14, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.15May 14, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 11, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$11.39Apr 25, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$5.93Apr 21, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$6.00Apr 11, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$9.89Apr 8, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0.12Apr 8, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$7.20Apr 7, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$8.70Apr 7, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0.42Apr 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$9.57Apr 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$10.00Apr 6, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$0.62Apr 3, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 19:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".