Gracious-Pup
0x64df62093f067abd9e151e13309a53e2eb13fa8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$15.27
Total PnL
$-7.71
Realised
$0.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
61 shares @ 2.5¢·now 8.6¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.23
$3.73
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 5.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.28
$1.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
228 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.02
$-1.97
- NO
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 14.5¢·now 12.9¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
84 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will "Dream" be said during Eurovision?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$2.07May 16, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$9.92May 16, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.18May 16, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$8.07May 16, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.16May 16, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 16?$1.07May 16, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dream" be said during Eurovision?$1.03May 16, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 16, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.04May 16, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Epstein" in May?$1.04May 16, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Big Bang" in May?$0.10May 16, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in May?$0.21May 16, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.05May 15, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.06May 15, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$0.81May 15, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.37May 15, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.18May 15, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 14, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 14, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 14, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 07:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".