Expensive-Guilty
0x656231f62cae2f10f01e82c3c002908851e6778d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.25
Total PnL
$-21.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$5.27May 15, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$5.27May 15, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$5.23May 15, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$8.06May 15, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.13May 15, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$8.20May 15, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.14May 15, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.21May 15, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$9.43May 15, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.16May 15, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.00May 15, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$5.16May 15, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$5.17May 15, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.04May 15, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.02May 15, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$1.02May 15, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.01May 15, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 15, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$1.01May 15, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 06:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 09:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".