Square-Human
0x65d7500139c3c4c13fb78a60e27131ca9ae919c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$401.29
Total PnL
$-365.24
Realised
$0.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
172 shares @ 85.9¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.11
$8.81
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
90 shares @ 90.6¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.98
$5.44
- NO
Clavicular sentenced to prison?
50 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.50
$4.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
30 shares @ 82.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.35
$3.55
- NO
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
20 shares @ 78.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.50
$1.90
- NO
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
20 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.50
$0.90
- NO
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.20
$1.20
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.30
$-0.90
- NO
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
10 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$10.15
$0.15
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.61
$0.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?$15.60Jul 10, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?$15.60Jul 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?$14.10Jul 9, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?$15.00Jul 9, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$20.00Jul 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in May?$14.49Jun 2, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?$76.00Jun 1, 16:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?$69.00May 31, 14:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.19May 31, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$107.59May 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$43.72May 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.00May 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$4.83May 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.00May 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$24.95May 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.28May 30, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.51May 30, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$16.83May 30, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $40.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 15:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.