Hard-To-Find-Dibble
0x6650578bbff0a9e4ec6d2468bc32aaa20d10dca4
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$40.90
Total PnL
$-305.51
Realised
$12.24
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
47 shares @ 21.1¢·now 22.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.85
$0.85
- YES
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$9.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.53
$-1.47
- YES
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?
29 shares @ 27.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.76
$-2.01
- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
20 shares @ 15.3¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.96
$-2.04
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
13000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
3022 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?
1640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
1107 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$5.16Jul 11, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$17.66Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$13.65Jul 10, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$5.02Jul 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1.00Jul 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$3.45Jul 10, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$10.13Jul 10, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$5.14Jul 10, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.32Jul 10, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$5.21Jul 10, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$10.23Jul 9, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?$5.14Jul 9, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?$10.29Jul 9, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$3.40Jul 9, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 15?$3.00Jul 9, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$10.18Jul 7, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance$20.52Jul 4, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$10.28Jul 4, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$22.06Jul 4, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$15.14Jul 4, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.