Inferior-Implement
0x66c1cc4f994ee99a2f5977a2e071cbfd65852c72
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$-473.14
Realised
$630.72
Win rate
68%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$905.00
$-5.00
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
3093 shares @ 20.9¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$695.85
$47.64
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
2587 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$659.74
$-12.94
- YES
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
2500 shares @ 26.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$587.50
$-63.39
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 7.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$422.50
$36.75
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$345.00
$44.91
- YES
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$287.70
$20.70
- YES
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
714 shares @ 21.1¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$207.17
$56.19
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?
393 shares @ 38.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$192.39
$43.30
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 18.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$185.00
$3.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.06Jul 29, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$1.20Jul 29, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.36Jul 29, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.04Jul 29, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 29, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.05Jul 29, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.06Jul 29, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?$11.97Jul 29, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.17Jul 29, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.05Jul 29, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.03Jul 29, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$174.79Jul 29, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.06Jul 29, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$38.08Jul 29, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.24Jul 29, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?$28.28Jul 29, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.04Jul 29, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.10Jul 29, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.04Jul 29, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 29, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
68% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 03:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.