Frugal-Story
0x66c28dca831cf453ff956a157fe77bb9eee785f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-130.24
Realised
$-16.61
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1608 shares @ 19.4¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$715.69
$403.48
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
422 shares @ 83.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$333.13
$-16.87
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
43 shares @ 82.8¢·now 83.4¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$36.22
$0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 20?
9501 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 7?
1185 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-31.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 7?
775 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-29.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 7?
750 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 9?
746 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-41.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 7?
698 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on April 7?
615 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-28.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$352.38May 15, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$36.25May 15, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$24.64Apr 23, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 8?$20.09Apr 21, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 20?$1.81Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 20?$0.15Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 55°F or below on April 20?$0.15Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 20?$2.66Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 20?$1.36Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 20?$6.61Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 20?$1.32Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 20?$0.39Apr 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 20?$3.35Apr 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on April 20?$1.61Apr 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 20?$3.83Apr 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 20?$10.00Apr 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 20?$0.89Apr 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 20?$0.54Apr 20, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 20?$1.96Apr 20, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 20?$3.24Apr 20, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $18.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".