Complicated-Frown
0x671aa8fb5c66f5e363da6c0715788327b291ee5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$555.78
Total PnL
$-483.07
Realised
$-156.82
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
527 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$527.00
$110.67
- YES
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?
28 shares @ 59.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.26
$-8.26
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
19 shares @ 46.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.32
$-1.20
- YES
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
34 shares @ 57.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.44
$-13.94
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
43 shares @ 67.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.38
$-23.43
- NO
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 15.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.51
$1.21
- YES
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
2 shares @ 28.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.41
$-0.17
- YES
Brex IPO before 2027?
34 shares @ 32.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$-10.62
- NO
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
2 shares @ 20.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.29
- YES
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 175k and 200k?
953 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-103.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?$2.00Jun 2, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMRobinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?$4.00Jun 2, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMCerebras IPO before 2027?$10.00Jun 2, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026?$249.00Jun 2, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$278.00Jun 2, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$44.13Apr 21, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$48.26Apr 21, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?$76.70Feb 9, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?$135.11Feb 9, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?$156.94Feb 9, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?$8.36Feb 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?$44.59Feb 8, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?$25.48Feb 8, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBrex IPO before 2027?$17.54Feb 8, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLAnsem mindshare all time high by March 31?$84.70Feb 8, 18:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 6, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 5, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 4, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 16, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 14, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
25/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $101.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 10:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.