Knowing-Fur
0x672f925801218670d1f0a1140691e5b80cd9a433
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$6.17
Total PnL
$-7.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 61.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.62
$0.62
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 21.9¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.67
$-0.33
- NO
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
520 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.07Jun 12, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.08Jun 12, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$0.67Mar 24, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score$1.00Mar 15, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.41Mar 12, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Mar 11, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Mar 11, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 11, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 10, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Mar 10, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$1.00Mar 10, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$1.00Mar 10, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Mar 9, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 9, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$1.00Mar 9, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 9, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 9, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 07:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.