Sorrowful-Parchment
0x674f269ae33c4f541f8784b5cd8c86891bd66888
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-1.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1315 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$-0.66
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$135.93
$5.93
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
83 shares @ 93.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$77.16
$-0.84
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
52 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.97
$5.97
- YES
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?
18 shares @ 67.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$28.09May 17, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$21.05May 17, 10:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$50.11May 16, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$20.05May 16, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.3KMay 16, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$159.57May 16, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.2KMay 16, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.2KMay 14, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.2KMay 14, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$150.00May 11, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.2KMay 11, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$22.22May 9, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$20.08May 8, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$130.47May 8, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$26.76May 8, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$125.00May 8, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$100.00Apr 28, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$22.00Apr 28, 06:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $172.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".