Superficial-Figurine
0x67959fa6b47097c4174678f02db61cb5ddefc55d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
700 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$602.00
$7.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
409 shares @ 75.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$357.60
$51.09
- YES
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
500 shares @ 78.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$352.50
$-37.50
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$297.15
$2.25
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 22.4¢·now 26.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$214.00
$34.80
- YES
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 43.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$180.00
$-164.00
- NO
Will no MrBeast video be posted?
200 shares @ 92.8¢·now 87.1¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$174.19
$-11.40
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
900 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$139.46
$-13.50
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
500 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$72.50
$-22.50
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
1000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$53.00
$9.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.46Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 25, 2026?$1.14Jul 21, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no MrBeast video be posted?$35.62Jul 20, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no MrBeast video be posted?$12.89Jul 20, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no MrBeast video be posted?$49.42Jul 20, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no MrBeast video be posted?$0.93Jul 20, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no MrBeast video be posted?$46.40Jul 20, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no MrBeast video be posted?$40.34Jul 20, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$45.68Jul 20, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?$82.73Jul 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$306.51Jul 19, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?$82.65Jul 19, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 1 Winner$100.00Jul 19, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 1 Winner$83.71Jul 18, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$314.91Jul 18, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$23.34Jul 18, 03:21 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.19Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$4.06Jul 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$44.80Jul 17, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$28.56Jul 17, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $78.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 06:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.