Alarmed-Beastie
0x67c2354182b2367f94a1bdfb3426d89efe0be23e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$42.25
Total PnL
$-316.94
Realised
$-2.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.27
$1.07
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$9.40
$0.40
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.13
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
10500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
1202 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?
702 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
48 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-21.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10PM ET
45 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.32
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6?
41 shares @ 64.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-26.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$35.00Jun 8, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$10.00May 2, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00May 1, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?$20.00Apr 30, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$4.98Apr 29, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$21.00Apr 29, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 2?$10.00Apr 28, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$0.85Apr 28, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?$0.00Apr 27, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$14.05Apr 24, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$49.70Apr 24, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$4.35Apr 24, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 2?$9.77Apr 24, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$20.00Apr 23, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$20.00Apr 23, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 23, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 23, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$49.75Apr 23, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$18.20Apr 23, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$20.00Apr 23, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $19.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 03:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.