Quarterly-Heart
0x67f96b968abe6ed842ed734d354b4f047247ecdc
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$147.28
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
617 shares @ 8.1¢·now 8.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$49.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$41.67
$-8.33
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$30.64
$-19.36
- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
253 shares @ 15.3¢·now 9.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$25.00
$-13.76
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 14?
10085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?
636 shares @ 70.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-445.76
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 14?
367 shares @ 88.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-326.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
327 shares @ 91.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
217 shares @ 92.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
206 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$114.18Jun 11, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$344.83Jun 8, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$58.58Jun 2, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 on June 1?$305.19Jun 2, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 on June 1?$300.36Jun 1, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$301.23Jun 1, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$100.00Jun 1, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$300.00Jun 1, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$128.21Jun 1, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$618.69Jun 1, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$641.03May 31, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$240.00May 24, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$242.45May 24, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$40.40May 23, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.80May 23, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$5.05May 19, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$5.08May 19, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.17May 18, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.17May 18, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$102.57May 18, 20:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $123.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 13:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 12:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.