Knotty-Bat
0x681a70e65476d229d17acd2429c258c8c9fe366c
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$291.37
Total PnL
$0.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$190.01May 14, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DualShot Recorder be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$101.03May 13, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$289.68May 13, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$290.02May 13, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$287.66May 13, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$288.03May 13, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?$259.72May 13, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?$260.01May 13, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?$291.69May 13, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?$292.01May 13, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$103.14May 12, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$176.80May 11, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$177.01May 11, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$189.79May 11, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$190.01May 11, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$189.76May 11, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$190.04May 11, 04:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$102.06May 10, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$274.68May 10, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $211.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 03:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 21:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".