Irresponsible-Pecan
0x682e388668c2da2c40631665dea992b8a72b70bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$8.0K
Total PnL
$-49.1K
Realised
$377.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
40000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 18.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.5K
$-499.56
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
13332 shares @ 18.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$313.31
$-2.2K
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
3600 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.40
$-408.60
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
1186 shares @ 8.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.21
$-34.79
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
5000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.50
$-187.50
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
300000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-349.80
- YES
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
25954 shares @ 85.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.2K
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
10644 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
9091 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
8038 shares @ 79.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.4K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$47.15Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$101.20Jun 12, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$717.21Jun 12, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.00Jun 12, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.17Jun 12, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.62Jun 12, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.11Jun 12, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$8.65Jun 12, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.20Jun 12, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$61.52Jun 12, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.13Jun 12, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.01Jun 12, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.5KJun 12, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$40.00Jun 12, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.62Jun 12, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.75Jun 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.99Jun 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$179.15Jun 12, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.25Jun 12, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.26Jun 12, 02:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $124.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 01:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.