Assured-Democracy
0x6832a7f292ab471a744c83b8dd8bcde00de3ce90
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$93.05
Total PnL
$-30.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
25 shares @ 64.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$24.56
$8.56
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
25 shares @ 65.8¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.09
$5.64
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.50
$-15.50
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?
60 shares @ 19.7¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.08
$-0.70
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.90
$-2.30
- NO
Will USD/CAD hit 1.42 (High) in 2026?
20 shares @ 62.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$-6.40
- NO
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$4.38
$0.82
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
64 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.55
$-5.95
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
35 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
34 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.14May 19, 15:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $7.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.