Smoggy-Declaration
0x6841809270225f2bf47c100fdbc75919aa3e2f5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$692.95
Total PnL
$-84.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
215 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$215.11
$0.11
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
190 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$188.76
$0.09
- NO
Will BNB reach $1,000 in May?
130 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$129.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
80 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.04
$0.04
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
58 shares @ 98.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$56.28
$-0.72
- NO
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
25 shares @ 99.5¢·now 90.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$22.83
$-2.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
111 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-11.50
- BNK FEARX
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
85 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $1,000 in May?$130.03May 17, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$57.00May 17, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 55-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$25.01May 17, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$262.36May 15, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.74May 15, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$188.67May 15, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.10May 14, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$85.34May 12, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$60.18May 12, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$260.12May 11, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$85.02May 11, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$60.00May 11, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by June 30?$72.00May 11, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$200.20May 8, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$180.18May 8, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$200.01May 7, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$180.01May 7, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$70.09May 7, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$215.01May 7, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$80.01May 7, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $136.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".