Specific-Shape
0x68a75e3c32fdac6740d49a76137bc71a8722e832
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$29.14
Total PnL
$-29.54
Realised
$-3.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
24 shares @ 94.1¢·now 42.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.46
$-12.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 30?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
160 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.40
$0.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
8 shares @ 88.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.71
$-5.29
- YES
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
9 shares @ 46.5¢·now 6.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.53
$-3.47
- OILERS
Flames vs. Oilers
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 30?$10.00Apr 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$2.00Apr 30, 10:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.30Mar 9, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Mar 7, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$77.15Feb 27, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on February 18?$100.00Feb 25, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on February 18?$99.90Feb 18, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 16?$146.51Feb 18, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 16?$146.36Feb 16, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 14?$146.36Feb 16, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 14?$146.21Feb 13, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$2.74Feb 13, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$3.41Feb 13, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$140.06Feb 13, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$139.92Dec 29, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $120 on December 12?$439.92Dec 22, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $120 on December 12?$439.48Dec 12, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 10?$439.48Dec 12, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 10?$439.04Dec 10, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 7?$439.04Dec 8, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $172.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 13:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.