Greedy-Railroad
0x6964c05f487c49875707fa2528eaebe294c73c89
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$96.72
Total PnL
$-82.39
Realised
$-2.69
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
46 shares @ 64.9¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.08
$12.08
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.27
$2.27
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.03
$1.03
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.73
$1.73
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
152 shares @ 9.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.17
$-8.83
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
52 shares @ 28.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.70
$-10.30
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
57 shares @ 17.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.73
$-6.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in May?
467 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.38
- YES
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in May?
255 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?$57.55Aug 13, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$11.09Jun 30, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$13.43Jun 30, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$5.95Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?$17.06Jun 1, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?$16.39May 30, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?$30.20May 29, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?$88.36May 18, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$5.35May 18, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$6.76May 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.29May 18, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.09May 18, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?$46.25May 13, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?$52.94May 8, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?$0.00May 8, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?$0.00May 8, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in May?$0.00May 8, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of April 27 2026?$0.00May 8, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of April 27 2026?$0.00May 8, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of April 27 2026?$0.00May 8, 17:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $8.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.