Junior-Mister
0x69ac33d71d0d09e638d178e6148c6ea4d28b7b99
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$32.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
912388 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.1K
$-5.8K
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
171 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$168.59
$18.41
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
31 shares @ 89.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.02
$2.02
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10312 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.78
$-25.78
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
27 shares @ 67.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.24
$5.24
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
23 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.36
$2.36
- NO
Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?
22 shares @ 92.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.34
$0.34
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
25 shares @ 39.5¢·now 77.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.51
$9.51
- NO
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.45
$2.45
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.60
$-4.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.41Jun 24, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 23, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$71.40Jun 22, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$13.70Jun 22, 10:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.44Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 19, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jun 19, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?$5.02Jun 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?$10.10Jun 19, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$14.71Jun 19, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.59Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$10.33Jun 17, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$10.01Jun 17, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$10.20Jun 17, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?$5.01Jun 17, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$90.32Jun 17, 21:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.66Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $25.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.