Spotless-Placode
0x69ba1a267d55fdf5b167f61f52c51a7dff38057a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-152.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-03-15?
9963 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
262 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
90 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.85
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
44 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
29 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
26 shares @ 76.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?$0.27Mar 23, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$1.33Mar 23, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$1.54Mar 23, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$4.36Mar 23, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$4.93Mar 23, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$9.11Mar 23, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$9.32Mar 23, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?$10.02Mar 23, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$10.02Mar 23, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$10.42Mar 23, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.65Mar 23, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$15.46Mar 23, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$17.98Mar 23, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$20.00Mar 23, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$11.49Mar 23, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMSouth Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals$15.56Mar 23, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$20.00Mar 23, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$11.00Mar 23, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals$10.00Mar 19, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)$10.00Mar 18, 23:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $9.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 11:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 02:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.