0x69efe1327e326b92fcda909fc2454e73251b27d9
0x69efe1327e326b92fcda909fc2454e73251b27d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$28.51
Total PnL
$0.33
Realised
$-1.01
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$6.67
$1.67
- NO
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
7 shares @ 68.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$6.46
$2.00
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
25 shares @ 20.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.40
$1.19
- YES
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.26
$0.25
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
8 shares @ 56.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.73
$-0.86
- YES
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?
15 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?$5.02Jun 20, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?$5.09Jun 19, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?$5.03Jun 19, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$4.73Jun 17, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?$5.05Jun 17, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.22Jun 16, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.51Jun 13, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$5.16Jun 13, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$41.35Jun 3, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$0.01Jun 1, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$0.00Jun 1, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$3.39May 21, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$5.03May 21, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$5.06May 21, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.66May 16, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$4.70May 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.05May 16, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$5.25May 16, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.16May 16, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.43May 15, 07:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 01:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.