Ornate-Daisy
0x69f0ddc8c926b743f630c9f530ef44b70a8fd5d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$24.79
Total PnL
$3.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Norway win the 2025 IHF Women’s World Championship?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2025 AL Cy Young?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.47
$0.47
- YES
2025 September second hottest on record?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$1.00Feb 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.00Jan 30, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Jan 26, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.00Jan 12, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 29, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 23, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2025 IHF Women’s World Championship?$1.00Dec 4, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk by December 31?$1.00Nov 25, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Nov 17, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?$1.00Nov 10, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $150 on November 4?$1.00Nov 4, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill “Nobody Wants This” be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 28)$1.00Oct 27, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on October 27?$1.00Oct 21, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 13, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in September?$1.18Oct 7, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$1.51Oct 7, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Athletic Club win on 2025-08-25?$1.72Oct 7, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 September second hottest on record?$1.00Oct 7, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.00Sep 22, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 09:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.