Warmhearted-Botany
0x6a54e4d04bed7ca8330b8a8a5da5331c71850694
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$183.25
Total PnL
$-101.58
Realised
$-14.32
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
106 shares @ 47.3¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$58.61
$8.61
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
231 shares @ 6.5¢·now 9.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$22.52
$7.52
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
360 shares @ 2.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$18.55
$10.55
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23 shares @ 48.4¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$17.03
$6.03
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
78 shares @ 21.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.79
$-4.21
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$9.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
32 shares @ 15.7¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$8.74
$3.74
- NO
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
30 shares @ 16.5¢·now 28.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.63
$3.63
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.37
$0.37
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 15.4¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.54
$0.54
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-17?$6.13May 17, 15:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$3.14May 15, 18:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.37May 14, 13:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$1.05May 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?$10.34May 13, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$1.04May 13, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 13, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.11May 13, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.11May 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.65May 13, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.06May 13, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$18.52May 13, 17:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $4.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".