Experienced-Battleship
0x6b0bb46f85efae20908f2c7b70ef4a57dd09f011
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$406.31
Total PnL
$-98.11
Realised
$148.42
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
600 shares @ 24.4¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.01
$-29.36
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
230 shares @ 38.4¢·now 45.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$104.64
$16.35
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
200 shares @ 29.8¢·now 39.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$78.10
$18.60
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 16.2¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.37
$13.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1AM ET
21 shares @ 71.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$17.11
$2.20
- YES
EU dissolves before 2027?
500 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.75
$-5.75
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 10.9¢·now 21.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.93
$6.39
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 16.0¢·now 21.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.69
$3.09
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 8.8¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.40
$5.12
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
10 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.75
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1AM ET$15.21Jul 14, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1AM ET$3.42Jul 14, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET$21.77Jul 14, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET$50.00Jul 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET$3.35Jul 14, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET$16.41Jul 14, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET$1.57Jul 14, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET$3.05Jul 14, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET$13.13Jul 14, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET$2.95Jul 14, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET$14.46Jul 14, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET$0.29Jul 14, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET$8.45Jul 14, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET$3.25Jul 14, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET$3.24Jul 14, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11PM ET$0.60Jul 14, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11PM ET$4.50Jul 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11PM ET$4.50Jul 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11PM ET$4.50Jul 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11PM ET$4.50Jul 14, 03:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $13.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.