0x6b0ebbef2630b9a0da35594bf7ddd1911246e3ea
0x6b0ebbef2630b9a0da35594bf7ddd1911246e3ea
Quality score
74/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$340.85
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$435.14
Win rate
49%
150 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
1592 shares @ 12.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$198.98
$-5.21
- YES
Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?
1960 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$49.79
$19.42
- YES
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
1486 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.81
$-11.79
- NO
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
5579 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.31
$5.58
- YES
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
1306 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$18.29
$-1.14
- YES
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
2333 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.67
$-7.00
- YES
Will Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
90531 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.53
- YES
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?
60311 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.31
- YES
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?
47000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
34964 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$15.028m ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.5817m ago
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$1.0424m ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$29.0056m ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?$4.601h ago
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$6.231h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump nationalize elections?$1.691h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump end Department of Education before 2027?$3.441h ago
- TRADESELLTrump declares election interference national emergency? $1.221h ago
- TRADESELLTrump declares election interference national emergency? $7.041h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?$5.141h ago
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?$1.781h ago
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$0.031h ago
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$10.001h ago
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.801h ago
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$0.911h ago
- TRADESELLByteDance IPO before 2027?$0.551h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$29.021h ago
- TRADESELLWill Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?$5.441h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$1.001h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2h ago
- Last active
- 8m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.