Shimmering-Guilt
0x6b1a30a4f6533df21dabe5914753dd8d16d77669
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$138.10
Total PnL
$-9.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?
81 shares @ 64.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.31
$1.61
- NO
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
28 shares @ 89.2¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$25.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.24
$0.24
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
23 shares @ 83.1¢·now 79.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$17.77
$-0.92
- NO
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
90 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$8.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 68.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$6.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.88
$-0.12
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$119.62Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$2.70Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$2.02Jun 14, 01:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$34.56Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$30.01Jun 13, 01:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.03Jun 12, 23:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$9.24Jun 11, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$100.49Jun 11, 03:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$1.01Jun 4, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $16.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.