Empty-Blueberry
0x6b49054ed460465eec4791e2a19857557b632e46
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$21.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
417 shares @ 74.6¢·now 79.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$329.32
$18.34
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
299 shares @ 83.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$258.70
$8.70
- NO
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
320 shares @ 73.1¢·now 78.6¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$251.50
$17.81
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
493 shares @ 50.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$234.12
$-12.32
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
260 shares @ 72.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$208.39
$20.84
- NO
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
243 shares @ 86.8¢·now 73.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$177.22
$-33.39
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
207 shares @ 80.6¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$168.73
$1.92
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
253 shares @ 62.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$163.09
$6.32
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
178 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.54
$6.24
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
227 shares @ 58.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$157.41
$26.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.84Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$75.67Jul 13, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$29.50Jul 13, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$26.21Jul 13, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$134.09Jul 13, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$173.05Jul 13, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$11.80Jul 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $25M committed to the Credible public sale?$167.86Jul 13, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$122.50Jul 13, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$128.55Jul 13, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$221.91Jul 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$124.78Jul 13, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$151.67Jul 13, 04:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $25M committed to the Credible public sale?$132.59Jul 12, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$127.29Jul 12, 01:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlean IPO before 2027?$126.23Jul 10, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $107.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 03:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.