Hefty-Left
0x6b78a04b5e225ca364a0189fc2cb2cf86e44324e
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$11.81
Total PnL
$-209.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?
9 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$9.11
$5.83
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17 shares @ 53.5¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.70
$-6.61
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
22731 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-45.46
- NO
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
2577 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-36.70
- YES
Will LaNorris Sellers be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- YES
Will Arch Manning be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
1416 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.46
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Arvell Reese be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
1179 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
125 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.16
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
54 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$27.06Apr 25, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?$23.97Apr 25, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$12.38Apr 25, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$13.40Apr 25, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$10.17Apr 25, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$5.00Apr 25, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 25, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$27.45Apr 25, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$3.60Apr 25, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.75Apr 25, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?$2.75Apr 25, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?$10.74Apr 25, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$5.44Apr 25, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$11.69Apr 25, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$6.25Apr 25, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$4.65Apr 25, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMSavannah: Mitchell Krueger vs Daniel Galan$15.70Apr 25, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSavannah: Mitchell Krueger vs Daniel Galan$10.47Apr 24, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?$8.17Apr 24, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arch Manning be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.07Apr 23, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $10.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.