Flawed-Terrarium
0x6bc4d02f694f13920d74950c55b3924728974a8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$495.93
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-59.91
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
413 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$412.79
$0.21
- TEMPLE OWLS
Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls
90 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$45.00
$1.80
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
30 shares @ 79.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$27.30
$3.60
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
9 shares @ 67.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.84
$0.81
- NO
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.00
$0.84
- YES
Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
841 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-243.89
- YES
Will Smartless win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?
643 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-77.80
- UNCW SEAHAWKS
Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawks
630 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-315.00
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?
410 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-192.70
- NO
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
240 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-33.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$355.68Apr 12, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$126.72Apr 12, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$37.98Apr 12, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$269.08Apr 11, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$389.22Apr 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS bank failure by December 31?$73.80Apr 11, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by December 31?$75.60Apr 11, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls$43.20Apr 11, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$183.00Apr 10, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$234.06Apr 9, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?$4.80Apr 9, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?$16.48Apr 9, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELL5kt meteor strike in 2026?$45.92Apr 9, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$225.94Apr 8, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$830.85Apr 8, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$260.40Apr 8, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?$14.63Apr 7, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?$10.64Apr 7, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$20.00Apr 3, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMPartizan vs. BC Dubai$566.00Apr 3, 03:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $156.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 01:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".