Darling-Demand
0x6bdbbbf6b7a21c1bb1e83d5ba4c01ac1c4b64496
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
142
Open notional
$38.7K
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-260.05
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 142- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
6500 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.4K
$94.25
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
4000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.0K
$150.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
3000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$124.50
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
2500 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.4K
$62.50
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
2000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$-12.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
45448 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$931.67
$-68.26
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
12500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$812.50
$-187.50
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
111111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$611.11
$-388.89
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
600 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$587.70
$9.43
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
217606 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$544.02
$-455.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$36.95Jun 12, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$150.00Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$300.00Jun 12, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $244.49Jun 12, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$87.94Jun 12, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$215.96Jun 12, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?$166.84Jun 12, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$243.93Jun 12, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$244.19Jun 12, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$290.40Jun 12, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$131.41Jun 12, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$131.84Jun 12, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$106.57Jun 12, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$144.05Jun 12, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?$53.54Jun 12, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$239.20Jun 12, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$118.50Jun 12, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?$193.47Jun 12, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$53.00Jun 12, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEM World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?$100.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $182.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.