High-Episode
0x6c17546c05c378555c52d804aebd00d3f4ec6a7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$13.3K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$506.97
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
2431 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.4K
$201.02
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
2517 shares @ 91.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.4K
$100.43
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1563 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$-7.03
- NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
1385 shares @ 90.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$115.62
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
1263 shares @ 90.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.2K
$35.18
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
1579 shares @ 73.9¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-76.81
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
862 shares @ 87.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$858.43
$102.19
- MESSI
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
800 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$753.19
$1.20
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
823 shares @ 70.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$670.98
$94.55
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
386 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$380.48
$10.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$45.32Jun 24, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$81.68Jun 24, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$250.00Jun 24, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$100.00Jun 24, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.9KJun 24, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.87Jun 24, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$86.92Jun 24, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.90Jun 24, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$922.88Jun 24, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.27Jun 24, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.49Jun 24, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.20Jun 24, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$399.96Jun 23, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$10.69Jun 23, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$2.21Jun 23, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.01Jun 23, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$2.28Jun 23, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$5.76Jun 23, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.00Jun 23, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$39.86Jun 23, 22:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $195.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.