0x6c20dcb03f50b33c62462b01b4aa0217e1e5a2be
0x6c20dcb03f50b33c62462b01b4aa0217e1e5a2be
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$81.43
Total PnL
$-16.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
11 shares @ 71.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.65
$0.73
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
9 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.62
$0.10
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
14 shares @ 43.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.20
$2.37
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
13 shares @ 41.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$7.93
$2.56
- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.49
$0.49
- NO
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?
12 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.02
$-0.06
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11 shares @ 29.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.83
$3.61
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.87
$0.84
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
13 shares @ 42.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.10
$-0.32
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.08
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.9B?$1.36May 14, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?$7.20May 13, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$8.33May 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$4.89May 10, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.68May 10, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?$0.00May 2, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.00May 2, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?$0.00May 2, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$0.00May 2, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 2, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$0.00May 2, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$0.00May 2, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?$7.51May 1, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 29, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.52Apr 27, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$5.42Apr 26, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$3.54Apr 26, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$1.57Apr 26, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$7.91Apr 26, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$12.01Apr 26, 00:10 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 02:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".