Orange-Danger
0x6c751ffa6a2864d7b0c98080b0901a2bf83455ce
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$17.42
Total PnL
$-4.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.46
$0.46
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ 69.1¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.13
$0.13
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.14
$0.14
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.97
$-0.23
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Trump say "Silicon Valley" this week?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.0316h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.0416h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?$1.0016h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$2.9017h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.0217h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.0217h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Chair" this week?$1.3520h ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?$2.991d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$1.232d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?$1.032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Silicon Valley" this week?$1.022d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Chair" this week?$1.012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Boeing" this week?$1.012d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.072d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.432d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.002d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$4.002d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.062d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?$2.052d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 16h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
