Unkempt-Parchment
0x6ca0cfe4ed627cb4ebe0193e69de9823a007e59d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-421.35
Realised
$-84.56
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
555 shares @ 51.5¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$357.96
$71.82
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
333 shares @ 52.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$308.02
$134.86
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1887 shares @ 17.6¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$302.86
$-30.36
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1554 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$250.97
$-4.99
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1887 shares @ 11.2¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$182.07
$-30.13
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1554 shares @ 8.2¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$167.05
$39.85
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1887 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$151.90
$-8.60
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
333 shares @ 40.3¢·now 41.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$136.53
$2.22
- YES
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
844 shares @ 39.9¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$135.04
$-202.06
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1998 shares @ 8.9¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$134.87
$-43.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$41.07Jun 14, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$54.39Jun 14, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$52.17Jun 14, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$58.83Jun 14, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$26.65Jun 14, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.10Jun 14, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$57.72Jun 14, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$27.53Jun 14, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 14, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?$0.00Jun 14, 06:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$79.00Jun 13, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMTotal Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?$444.00Jun 13, 01:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$3.13Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$822.00Jun 12, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$22.20Jun 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$2.73Jun 12, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$3.08Jun 12, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $25.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.