0x6cb2639895c728d7181f292a4275cd18e2375586
0x6cb2639895c728d7181f292a4275cd18e2375586
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$44.81
Total PnL
$3.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 59.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.30
$1.30
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.07
$5.07
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 82.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.66
$-0.34
- NO
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.41
$-0.59
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.14
$-1.86
- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.89
$-0.11
- YES
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.89
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?$5.02May 30, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$0.00May 30, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$5.03May 25, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$5.02May 23, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.02May 23, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$3.01May 22, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.02May 22, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.88May 22, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9.04May 22, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$116.67May 22, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$2.10May 19, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.03May 17, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.13May 16, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$7.26May 16, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $4.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".