Shocked-Admire
0x6cb3f52bc7eeaef0c7edb243733135b8aad3ca8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$88.01
Total PnL
$-177.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$21.11
$1.11
- YES
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.34
$7.34
- YES
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.33
$-4.67
- YES
Will Cap dip to $0.01 before 2027?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.10
$1.10
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 80.5¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.96
$-0.10
- YES
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.29
$-2.71
- NO
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
15 shares @ 37.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$4.72
$-0.82
- NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.25
$-0.65
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.90
$0.10
- NO
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
119 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-63.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMExact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?$41.00Jul 3, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria?$41.00Jul 3, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score$42.00Jul 3, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$42.00Jul 3, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$113.00Jul 3, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$155.20Jul 3, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$21.00Jul 3, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?$41.00Jul 3, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5$21.00Jul 3, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?$21.00Jul 2, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?$41.00Jul 2, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMMikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals$21.00Jul 2, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$21.00Jul 2, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$78.00Jul 2, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spain (-1.5)$21.00Jul 2, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$87.91Jul 2, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?$35.81Jul 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$9.61Jul 2, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCroatia to score first vs. Portugal?$14.58Jul 2, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$9.40Jul 2, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $19.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.