Spirited-Walrus
0x6d1af499a3a854fd15f94b7d21617c9f6d1a4fcd
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$163.37
Total PnL
$-74.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
16 shares @ 63.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$15.75
$5.75
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$15.38
$5.38
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$12.35
$2.35
- NO
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.24
$1.24
- NO
Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.19
$1.19
- YES
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
11 shares @ 89.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$11.16
$1.16
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.88
$0.88
- NO
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.34
$0.10
- YES
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$7.58
$2.58
- NO
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$7.46
$2.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?$8.24Apr 9, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 9, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$5.00Apr 9, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$5.00Apr 9, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?$5.00Apr 9, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$10.00Apr 9, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 9?$5.00Apr 9, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 9?$5.00Apr 9, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.00Apr 9, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.00Apr 9, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 9, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$10.00Apr 9, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$3.27Apr 9, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?$5.77Apr 9, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?$6.00Apr 9, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$6.10Apr 9, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$10.33Apr 9, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$11.36Apr 9, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$11.63Apr 9, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$11.71Apr 9, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 03:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.